# 41 Stats That Tell the Story of AI Right Now — Transcript (2026-08-08)

https://aidailybrief.ai/e/2026-08-08 · Listen: https://pod.link/1680633614

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[00:00:00] Today on the AI Daily Brief, 

260809 lrs_EDIT: tell the story of AI right now. The AI Daily Brief is a daily podcast and video about the most important news and discussions in AI. All right, friends, quick notes before we dive in. First of all, thank you to today's sponsors, Blitzy, Section, Robots and Pencils, and Hyperagent. To get an ad-free version of the show, go to patreon.com/aidailybrief, or you can subscribe on Apple Podcasts. And if you wanna learn more about sponsoring the show, send us a note at sponsors@aidailybrief.ai.

Now, one Now, one very frequent type of content in the '23, '24, '25 era of the AI Daily Brief was to take some big new report from one of the big professional services firms and analyze all the interesting stats therein about adoption and corporate usage and things like that

I've been doing a lot less of that this year And it's certainly not because the number of studies or anything have slowed down

I think the reason is that in so many cases, The [00:01:00] stats that come out of surveys just feel so disconnected from the reality

Of AI capability that they feel almost not useful this is an, now this is of course another byproduct of the shift that happened 

around the beginning of this year. as we got a new set of models, people started to understand the importance of harnesses, and agentic AI truly came online

In that the world has pretty much separated itself

into those who recognize and are trying to adapt to this totally new way of working and on the other hand, those who are still laboring under some old model now obviously everyone and every company has their own journey in AI

and there are plenty of good reasons why a lot of people 

who will eventually adopt agents in advanced AI haven't yet. but at the same time, from my standpoint, 

thinking about the audience that I wanna support

I've had less and less energy for trying to convince people to use AI, and wanted to instead spend more of that energy on helping people who had already made that decision figure out how to do it well

Thus leading to the AI Summer Adventure and Claw Camp and Agent OS and all those things. And yet, if we are trying to tell a complete story about AI adoption The truth is that we are [00:02:00] still 

very, 

very early

and in the many ways, the gap between the people on the frontier and the vanguard and those who are behind is getting wider, not smaller. So with all that in mind, I thoughtfor this particular Long Read Sunday/Weekend Big Think episode, it would be good to go out and check in on all those different surveys that I hadn't spent as much time with, to pull out some of the more interesting numbers.

So in no particular order, 

as researched by me with the

assistance of both Fable and GPT 5.6 Sol, here are some stats telling the story of AI right now, and frankly the story that we don't always get on the AI Daily Brief.

first up, a Gallup poll from mid-May found that 52% of US workers Now use AI on the job. It was the first time that we had officially passed the halfway mark

And given that Gallup is going so broadly across all different types of workers, I think that fifty-two percent number is carrying a lot of weight. This is basically confirming in my mind that at this point you just use AI on the job and the questions shift not to how much adoption is there, but how well is it being used

Numbers around ROI are a bit more complicated

A Domino Data Lab study 

found that while [00:03:00] 93% of enterprises reported improved production capability, of, 57% of those enterprises said that AI's ROI still fails to outpace spend

PWC's mid-year CEO snapshot, which was fielded between mid-May and mid-June, saw 39% of reporting positive outcomes from AI so far

And I think this is meant to be specifically measurable and tangible outcomes. And this is something 

you see 

come up a lot in these surveys. In many cases, we're in this weird hinterland

where companies know the value of AI when they see it and know the value of AI on individual and small team levels, but it hasn't translated fully to the organizational level 

and into measurable bottom line impact

Another version of this story comes from the KPMG 

Global AI Pulse Survey

this one taken at the beginning of May where only 7% of global leaders reported established ROI from AI even though the percentage who said that AI was already delivering meaningful business value had jumped 12 points in a quarter up to 76%. So again, it's not that AI isn't valuable, it's that the translation all the way to bottom line impact still very nascent

[00:04:00] One story that we talk about a lot here that is now starting to show up in surveys is concerns around cost

back,

even back at the beginning of May, in an EY AI Pulse survey, 98% of C-suite leaders indicated that token costs were forcing them to reconsider their AI plans. This is, of course, a byproduct of the shift to agentic where you're no longer thinking about AI in terms of number of seats that you are giving people times 20 or 30 bucks a month, and instead thinking about the total cost of intelligence as expressed by used tokens, which can get much, much higher.

Now, interestingly, alongside those 98% who say that token costs have forced them to reconsider their plans, only 64% of them, less than two-thirds, actually meter their usage. For anyone who is trying to figure out how to think about tokens and costs

I will point you back to last week's Long Read Sunday episode with Nufar, Everything You Need to Know About AI Tokens, which goes deep on all of this

Now speaking to this idea of a gap between the firms on the vanguard and the firms that are behind

260809 lrs_EDIT: 

Ramp [00:05:00] uses card data from 70,000 plus businesses that work with it 

to provide a portrait of where AI is in businesses that make up their customers

The gap between the average AI usage and the top AI usage is phenomenal at the median AI buying business, Ramp found companies spending per employee per month Compare that to the top 1%, which are spending about $7,500 a month

And given that Ramp is kind of an advanced company, already you're talking about businesses that are more likely to be tech-forward than just your average business 

showing that this gap is probably even more enormous than this suggests

ramp,

that ramp index also confirmed

that Anthropic had flipped OpenAI to be the leader among their businesses in adoption In their July spend data, 

Nathaniel Whittemore: 39.5% 

260809 lrs_EDIT: of their users paid for OpenAI subscriptions, while 42.4% paid for Anthropic

in-- I think it's worth noting that this data also showed 

that this is, as everyone has been feeling, really a two company race at this point



260809 lrs_EDIT: although how much that changes in the context [00:06:00] of this new cost-conscious token efficiency era will be really interesting to see. It's gonna be harder to track, but one thing that I'll be keeping an eye on Is any sort of numbers that indicate what percentage of companies are experimenting with things like open weights models and fine-tuning strategies

or multi-model strategies that take advantage of tools like routers

Let's talk about individual people though now

Nathaniel Whittemore: now 

260809 lrs_EDIT: There are some pretty strong dichotomies

that show again that the gap between Vanguard and Frontier users as opposed to average users or opposed to resistant users 

is large and potentially getting larger One of the more interesting studies from a recent KPMG quarterly pulse survey was that they found that employee resistance to AI agents had quadrupled in a single quarter from 5% to 20%. now that's the sort of big jump that feels like it could be noise in the data. but given that KPMG releases their pulse survey every quarter, that's certainly one to keep an eye on.

a... what's more

AI agents which are more capable and thus perhaps more threatening, 

could certainly plausibly generate more ire [00:07:00] Among employees who aren't taking full advantage of them yet And certainly among the employees who are taking advantage, 

the agentic era has shifted dramatically

According to OpenAI's stats that they shared at the end of June, over 25% of Codex users have handed the agent a task that would be estimated to take more than eight hours of human work

The types of work, in other words being delegated to AI is increasing significantly

of, and yet a lot of that activity is still happening in quiet. In a controlled experiment from Atlassian They found that workers who disclosed their AI use were rated 10 times lazier than identical peers who stayed quiet, which is certainly a big peer pressure reason to not really talk about your AI use which can create dramatic drag on rates of adoption

in my experience, the most effective way for AI to disseminate across an organization is for power users to take the capabilities, adapt them to the context and needs and unique situation of the firm, and then evangelize within the bounds of those particular usage patterns to the next set of users who then [00:08:00] adapt it to their purpose and then evangelize to the next set and so on and so forth

But if those people are all being hammered and side-eyed and seen as not really doing the work because they're using AI, of course they're not gonna talk about it Now, the other reason that some people are keeping their AI usage quiet is that according to PagerDuty

66% of office professionals have used AI tools that they believed violated company policy Now, of course, it is my contention that this is not about malicious use This is about the tools that people have access to outside of work being in many cases dramatically better to the tools that they have inside work.

Now, hopefully, as Codex and Claude Code/Cowork adoption goes up inside the enterprise This gap starts to close there is a little bit less of an incentive for this sort of shadow behavior.

But again, that'll be something to watch over the next couple of quarters

we're also starting to see the first numbers in the agentic era of how people are using AI One stat that I found super interesting 

came from OpenAI's work at the Frontier Report, which examined more than 800,000 work messages They found that 43.5% of occupation-specific [00:09:00] ChatGPT use at work is for tasks belonging to a different occupation than the user's own

This is, for example, the marketing person making updates to the marketing site instead of waiting for the software engineers to do it

This sort of blurriness is going to have some of the biggest impact on how work changes over the next couple of years, and I think certainly resonates with most people's experience of AI as a capacity-augmenting technology

At the same time, this adaptation is not without bumps

We did an episode a few weeks ago about bot sitting And according to a BCG AI at Work study from June, they found 47% of workers reporting spending more time managing and supervising AI than doing actual work

My contention is that especially in this transition period to agents

this bot sitting challenge and just agent management type of challenge is going to be particularly acute 

until we get a little bit more locked in on core patterns and best practices still part of it isn't just based on the transition, but based on the fact that the actual job increasingly will be not to do the work, but to [00:10:00] manage the agents that do the work.

So ironically, when 47% of workers are reporting spending more time managing and supervising AI than, quote, "doing actual work," my contention would be that in the future, for a lot of different roles and positions, managing and supervising AI will be the actual work. That's exactly the world that we're headed into

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number,

260809 lrs_EDIT: now another number that we usedto track closely 

in the pre-2026 version of the AI Daily Brief was organizations sharing what percentage of their code was written by AI as opposed to written by humans

at this point, given that companies likeOpenAI and Anthropic are basically at 100%, these numbers 

kind of 

started to get a little less interesting But given that we are trying to broaden from our understanding just of early adopters to a much wider sector, it is notable that DX found that across more than 500 engineering organizations, in Q2 of this year, more than 50% of code 

was AI generated, and that was up from 34% just a quarter earlier.

Meaning that the broad shift to software engineering practice is no longer confined to the early adopter [00:14:00] organizations, 

but is pretty much getting everywhere at this point

Now, when it comes to how all these changes to how people work impact how the organization thinks about labor, again, we are in a very messy and confused period A ZipRecruiter study from June found that 38% of employers have already shifted basic data entry and processing work away from entry-level workers onto AI.

31% have raised experience requirements for entry-level roles. There has been a lot of hand-wringing around the potential impact of entry-level jobs Certainly that's something that Anthropic's Dario has loved talking about his concerns around

and yet it's worth noting that 35% of the same sample also expect AI to grow total headcount

Another on the perhaps concerning side, especially for early employees, 

according to a study of 1,000 hiring managers from resume templates, 48% of those hiring managers said that their company would rather invest in AI than hire and train a new graduate

Then again, once again according to Ramp in combination with Revelio Labs, by looking at payroll and spend data on more than 21,000 firms

Heavy AI adopters saw an [00:15:00] increase of 12% in entry-level hiring growth in the two years after adoption In other words, serious AI spend correlates with more junior level employees rather than fewer Is it possible then not to put it too bluntly, that the companies that are thinking about AI as a way to get rid of junior employees are simply doing it wrong and will eventually figure out what these other companies have

And re-increase their hiring in those areas which

they had now been neglecting theoretically because of AI

related to that,

while overall US job postings fell 7%

The Indeed Hiring Lab found 15% growth in software developer postings since February 2025. numbers that certainly don't indicate that all of a sudden developers are being wiped off the face of the planet

Now, for the sake of completeness, it is worth noting that 71% of that growth happened in senior roles, so this 

still might not be addressing the question of junior level employees. But certainly we are starting to see more and more evidence 



that the narrative of AI destroying software development is not only overblown, but outright wrong

one of the big contrasts that we're living with right [00:16:00] now

is that while AI has been the number one stated reason for US job cuts, according to Challenger, Gray & Christmas for five months now, 

as of August of this year

The Yale Budget Lab has found exactly zero evidence of clear AI fingerprints in aggregate US occupation data 

Despite us coming up on three years since ChatGPT was released Indeed, I think that there is a growing sense 

that a lot of the layoffs that are attributed to AI are attributed to AI because it is a politically palatable thing to attribute layoffs to

As I argued recently, I think that that excuse is going to carry less water in the months to come. so we'll have to see if the numbers back me up on that or if AI will continue to be blamed for all manner of different types of layoffs

to con- when it comes to people's concerns about AI, the story is 

kind of 

all over the place

On the one hand, an Inside Higher Ed study found that 55% of college students expected AI to hurt their career prospects, with only 7% calling themselves all in on AI. But in a KPMG Summer Intern Pulse study from July of this year Only five percent fear job displacement And 43% said that their [00:17:00] top AI worry was losing critical thinking skills.

This is perhaps a gap once again between people imagining what AI is going to be like versus people who are actually using AI and understanding how it intersects with the real world of real work Also in that KPMG Summer Intern Pulse, basically two-thirds of those surveyed had AI assisting with over a quarter of their assignments

In terms of broad societal issues and opinions, 

the AI industry continues to face a significant trust deficit



260809 lrs_EDIT: according to an Anthropic study admittedly from late last year, although I can't imagine that this has improved very much, only 15% of Americans trust AI companies to decide how AI is developed

Interestingly, a Pew Research Center study from June of this year also found that the perception is that China is ahead of the US in AI. In fact, by three to one in that Pew study, Americans said that China, not the US, was more advanced in AI

unsurprisingly, the broader concerns around the AI build-out are also showing up in the numbers. according to a Reuters Ipsos poll, 77% of Americans, basically an equal share of Republicans and Democrats, by the way, worry that [00:18:00] AI will make electricity more expensive, and 57% would oppose a data center in their own community

Now, as I've ranted about on my soapbox many times before

The worry that AI will make electricity more expensive should be a table stakes concern to address for the companies that are building data centers. and hopefully that memo is starting to resonate as this backlash gets louder

Clearly, we're very early and there's a lot of work to be done

In my estimation, one of thebiggest gaps in enterprise AI continues to be enablement

interestingly, in an official European 

Central Bank survey, 

ECB found that just about 50% of firms planned to invest in training their current staff for AI versus only 12% that were planning to hire AI specialists Now, I don't exactly know how they're going to train those folks, given the market's utter failure to provide good solutions for that.

If they're anything like their American counterparts, 

they will build highly bespoke solutions 'cause that's pretty much all that's currently available

And in some of these numbers, you start to see the inklings of more radical changes to come

On AI shopping, Adobe

found that on this year's Prime Day, AI-referred shoppers had a 40% better conversion than non-AI [00:19:00] referred shoppers

And certainly it feels like e-commerce is an area that is going to be completely upended by new consumer patterns sooner rather than later

the relationship between work that happens in-house versus from third parties is also likely to undergo some drastic changes Axiom, for example, in a survey of five hundred and twenty-eight in-house legal leaders, found that 92% of them either expect or are already negotiating AI related cuts from outside counsel be re- now that is a phenomenon that is notjust going to be unique

to legal services, 

but will be a part of the professional services story as well I don't think it's as clear-cut as professional services being hacked for internal alternatives, but the way that internal and external firms work with one another is going to shift, I think, dramatically

On the social side of it gets weirder from here



260809 lrs_EDIT: Elon University captured some of the weird zeitgeist of things that are shifting around people's personal experiences with AI. In a study from May, they found that 27% of US adult internet users now had some social or emotional interactions with AI, with 31% of them calling it a friend.

[00:20:00] Fascinatingly, 74% of those same users predict that AI will deepen society's loneliness

Which if you're looking for optimism is at least a sort of self-awareness 

that could create some alternative paths forward

And finally, and for the love of God, let's get this one right. According to Common Sense Media, 86% of kids ages nine to 17 use AI already And over 40% of them say that no parent has ever discussed AI safety with them

It is my contention that many of the most serious societal issues that we are dealing with right now

stem from negative aspects of social media and internet use among young people, particularly around Gen Z Part of the reason that they got hammered with all these 

negative consequences of the internet and social media is that their parents

who were mostly full-grown and in jobs before the internet fully came online and certainly before social media came online, just didn't really have a basis of understanding to be able to properly engage with their kids and help them navigate something which would ultimately have huge impacts

on social interactions and mental health and so much else. af- I do not believe that we can [00:21:00] afford to make that same mistake with AI

and I think that now is the time for parents and kids to get together and try to learn and understand this together Rather than parents just assuming it's something for kids to figure out.

s- this, by the way, is also the type of thing that makes me so frustrated

When anti-AI advocates try to pretend Like this is a genie that can be put back in the bottle By not engaging seriously with the reality that AI is here and it is here to stay, they're spending all their energy trying to put toothpaste back in the tube rather than help the people around them both adapt to the new world and have a hand in shaping it

s, as as you can probably see, it really does just feel to me Like the gap between different parts of the world when it comes to AI is in a strangely divergent place

you, and on that front, I will leave you with this thought. you all who are listeners of a show like the AI Daily Brief are, I believe, 

the most critical actors when it comes to this gap

When push comes to shove, it is not going to be people like me who spend all day every day using AI, talking about AI, creating content around AI, creating content with AI

who will shape broad public [00:22:00] opinion

It will be the folks who are doing the hard work of adopting and adapting to AI But from within the context of their normal non-AI life, who will be the translators for everyone else? In other words, my conversation is with you all, but your conversations are with everyone else.

and as grateful as I am that there are as many of you all as there are, 

there are still a whole lot more of everyone else 

so in other words, you have a huge and important job No pressure at all

In any case, that is gonna do it for today's AI Daily Brief. Appreciate you listening or watching as always, and until next time, peace 

​ 

Nathaniel Whittemore's audio recording:
